POLSCI 4SS3
Winter 2023
Representative surveys as the gold standard
Other research design help us learn more but tend to use convenience samples
Today: Talk more about convenience samples
Pros?
Cons?
We always want them!
But when do we need them?
Rather, when can we get away with not having them?
Validity: Approximate truth or usefulness of an inference
Inference: How we interpret the results of a study
Internal validity: Whether inferences from a single study cannot be explained by other factors
External validity: Whether inferences from a single study apply to a broader population or other target populations
Convenience samples make it easier to achieve internal validity at the expense of external validity
X-validity (endogenous variables)
T-validity (treatments, conditions)
Y-validity (outcome variables)
C-validity (context)
Is the sample comparable to the target population?
If not, can we claim that the differences can be ignored?
To do that, we have to convince ourselves that:
OR
Do treatments (conditions)
reflect what participants would encounter in the real world?
Example: Is thinking about hypothetical countries a good reflection to how people would think about real countries?
Can we claim that there are no different versions of the same treatment?
To do that, we need to convince ourselves that everyone would interpret vignettes in the same way
Either because it is realistic enough or abstract yet believable
Do the outcomes we measure in surveys reflect the outcomes we want to learn about in the real world?
Example: Are self-reported vote intentions a good replacement for actual voting behavior?
Can we claim that there are no different versions of the same outcome?
Need to convince ourselves that measured outcomes are sufficiently valid and reliable
Do results generalize from other contexts?
Example: If it worked with students in Sweden, will it work with students in Canada?
Can we claim that the same units would react in the same way if the study was conducted elsewhere?
Need to convince ourselves that context is irrelevant for similar people in different places
Social commentary and news source credibility
Facebook shares and news consumption
Issue framing and support for gun control
Replication 1: Participants low on digital literacy did not respond differently to vignettes
Replication 2: Older people clicked on whatever headline came first
Replication 3: No differences because issue had nothing to do with digital literacy
What kind of validity is this about?
Replicate 27 studies from nationally-representative samples with convenience samples
Compare how effects vary across 16 demographic characteristics
Treatment effects are mostly homogeneous
Effect heterogeneity is orthogonal to sample selection
Focus on: New topic!